Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 0.004454 0.004689 0.004931 0.005199 0.005488 0.005790 0.006131
2025-09-21 0.004053 0.004401 0.004775 0.005208 0.005699 0.006239 0.006881
2025-09-28 0.003690 0.004085 0.004521 0.005041 0.005649 0.006341 0.007197
2025-10-05 0.003503 0.003940 0.004434 0.005038 0.005763 0.006614 0.007701
2025-10-12 0.003401 0.003880 0.004433 0.005123 0.005974 0.007000 0.008353
2025-10-19 0.003250 0.003750 0.004337 0.005083 0.006022 0.007181 0.008752
2025-10-26 0.003124 0.003642 0.004257 0.005054 0.006076 0.007365 0.009157
2025-11-02 0.003007 0.003538 0.004177 0.005017 0.006112 0.007522 0.009529
2025-11-09 0.002960 0.003515 0.004194 0.005101 0.006305 0.007891 0.010207
2025-11-16 0.002870 0.003436 0.004135 0.005080 0.006357 0.008069 0.010626
2025-11-23 0.002786 0.003360 0.004075 0.005056 0.006400 0.008233 0.011031
2025-11-30 0.002691 0.003265 0.003989 0.004990 0.006380 0.008306 0.011303
2025-12-07 0.002598 0.003170 0.003899 0.004918 0.006349 0.008363 0.011557
2025-12-14 0.002542 0.003123 0.003869 0.004925 0.006431 0.008586 0.012080
2025-12-21 0.002427 0.002994 0.003726 0.004771 0.006273 0.008447 0.012021
2025-12-28 0.002375 0.002948 0.003693 0.004768 0.006333 0.008633 0.012494
2026-01-04 0.002358 0.002945 0.003719 0.004847 0.006515 0.009013 0.013310
2026-01-11 0.002299 0.002886 0.003664 0.004809 0.006522 0.009121 0.013674
2026-01-18 0.002248 0.002835 0.003619 0.004783 0.006542 0.009250 0.014081
2026-01-25 0.002196 0.002782 0.003569 0.004748 0.006548 0.009354 0.014450
2026-02-01 0.002184 0.002783 0.003596 0.004826 0.006730 0.009752 0.015378
2026-02-08 0.002142 0.002741 0.003559 0.004807 0.006760 0.009900 0.015853
2026-02-15 0.002100 0.002699 0.003521 0.004784 0.006782 0.010034 0.016312